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Real screens from this store, names and products masked. Every section below is readable in full.

Section 01, What we found: $402,090 in refunds show abuse patterns, the chargeback panel and two ranked actions
01 · What we found
Section 02, What we read: six store figures, refunded value by month and where the refunded money sits
02 · What we read
Section 04, Worth reviewing: eleven observations ranked by amount, with linked-account and repeat-refunder tables
04 · Worth reviewing (top)
The report on a phone: section 01 at 390 pixels wide
On a phone
A real case, anonymized

The report of a US outdoor brand

US outdoor brand / 19 observations / Sep 1, 2025 to Sep 1, 2026

A real Shopify store on RefundSentry. The store name, product titles, the discount code and customer numbers are masked; every figure is as the report stated it on Sep 2, 2026.

Setup reportReal store, anonymizedUS outdoor brand48,197 orders · $845,222 refunded · 12 months
Sec 01

What We Found

Audit window · Sep 1, 2025 to Sep 1, 2026
$402,090

in refunds show abuse patterns: 951 refunds rated medium or high risk, out of $845,222 refunded. 47.6% of the value of refunds.

This issue records 19 observations in four groups: 1 to recover now, 11 worth reviewing, 1 to watch and 6 for context.

Your chargebacks, last 12 months
Open, evidence due Sep 4$67 · 1
Won$1,079 · 3
Lost$3,130 · 11
Win rate on decided chargebacks21%
Rated low risk at checkout13 of 15
Expected back (estimate)$17

Start here

2 actions, ranked by amount · recoverable first

01

951 refunds show abuse patterns

$402,090 refunded · last 12 months · Review refunds

Review
02

307 customers refund 40% or more of their orders

$110,392 refunded · last 12 months · Review customers

Review

(1)The disputed amount is what comes back if every open chargeback wins. Expected back weights it by the store's win rate for each chargeback reason. Both figures describe the same open chargebacks. It is an estimate that assumes the evidence is submitted, not a guarantee.

(2) This setup report was frozen on Sep 2, 2026. Later activity belongs to live monitoring (Sec 07).

Sec 02

What We Read

The store, in six figures
Orders analyzed
48,197
Sep 1, 2025 to Sep 1, 2026
Refunds
2,771
5.7% of orders
Refunded
$845,222
1,715 full · 1,056 partial
Refunded after shipment
$494,861
1,700 refunds · where abuse can happen
Never shipped
$350,361
1,071 refunds, cancellations not returns
Chargebacks
15
$4,277 · 1 still open
Coverage: activity observed from Sep 1, 2025, the whole requested window. 100% of refunded value has no recorded reason. 19 customers flagged for a repeat refund or chargeback. Currency: USD only, no conversion.
Where the refunded money sits

Timing of each refund against its shipment and delivery scan. Same $845,222, split once. The 30-day return window is the store's own.

TimingRefundsAmount
Never shipped1,071$350,361
Shipped, refunded before or without a delivery scan465$60,483
Within 30 days of delivery1,033$378,091
More than 30 days after delivery202$56,287
Refunded value by month

August 2026 was the highest month of the year at $108,401, 48% above the 12-month median of $73,137. November and December carried the order peak (8,673 and 7,733 orders) at a lower refund rate.

Sec 03

Recover Now

1 observation · $67 disputed
5 of 15 chargebacks look like friendly fraud Recover
$671 open chargeback · evidence due Sep 4

The customer had the goods and disputed anyway. About $67 is still open and can come back if the chargeback is answered with evidence. Settled chargebacks are history and never count as open money.

Sec 04

Worth Reviewing

11 observations · ranked by amount
951 refunds show abuse patterns Review
$402,09047.6% of refunded value · 12 months

Each refund was rated medium or high risk on the patterns behind it, not on checkout fraud analysis. They are reviewed one at a time in Activity.

Part of the refund total never shipped Cancellations
$350,3611,071 refunds · 41.5% of refunded value

Orders refunded before shipping are cancellations, not returns. Refunds after shipment, where abuse can happen, come to $494,861.

307 customers refund 40% or more of their orders Repeat refunders
$110,392at least 2 orders each · 12 months

Together this cohort accounts for $110,392 in refunds. Review these customers before the next order ships.

68 accounts ship to 19 shared addresses Linked accounts
$47,934refunded · 12 months

19 address clusters where several accounts ship to one address. The largest: 9 accounts on one Wyoming address. A 5-account cluster in Texas matched at full confidence.

18 customers each filed 3 or more refunds Repeat refunders
$22,406refunded · 12 months

Ranked by dollars. The top customer filed 13 refunds; the next four filed 3 to 10 refunds each, $2,280 to $3,167.

56 orders from disposable email addresses refund at 78.6% Disposable email
$21,34444 refunded orders · 12 months

The store refunds 3.2% of orders. Disposable-email orders refund 24 times more often.

One discount code refunds at 15.7% vs 4.8% without it Discount code
$13,825refunded on code orders · 12 months

28 of 178 orders carrying the code saw a refund, against 4.8% across 48,020 orders without it. $13,825 is the amount concerned, not money recovered.

Chargeback reason: fraudulent (8 of 15) Chargebacks
$4,27715 chargebacks · 12 months

53% of chargebacks were filed as fraudulent. The evidence that answers them: delivery scan, address match, prior orders from the same customer.

Customer #…3814 filed 13 refunds totaling $3,676 Repeat refunder
$3,676refunded · 12 months

This customer averages a risk score of 60 across refund events. The report shows a masked account number; the customer profile shows the full history.

Chargebacks the checkout fraud analysis rated low risk Checkout blind spot
$2,891lost · 13 of 15 chargebacks

Checkout fraud analysis asks one question: was this a stolen card. Abuse that starts after the parcel ships is invisible to that check, which is where these chargebacks came from.

A customer still ordering after a chargeback Chargebacks
$2591 later order · 12 months

One customer who charged back has placed one more order since, worth $259. Review the record before another order ships.

Sec 05

Watch

1 observation · what is already in force
16 customers match 2 or more abuse patterns at once Watch
$28,304prior refunds · 12 months

Refunds most of their orders, ships to a flagged address, refunds a lot: the worst matches all three. A far stronger signal than any single pattern, and the first customers to watch before their next order.

Customers blocked
26
38 more on watch
Refunds confirmed as abuse
26
merchant decisions, fed back to scoring
Automation actions
7
rules the merchant switched on
Sec 06

Context

6 observations · nothing to action today
1,342 refunders never ordered again (90% churn) Retention
1,487 refunders · 12 months

Loyal customers here average 1.2 orders at $283 each. Had these refunders stayed, about $437,675 in lifetime revenue. An estimate, not a loss.

The two-radio bundle refunds at 5.9x the store rate Product
19.1% vs 3.2% · 933 orders

Product gaps separate a fit or quality problem from customer behaviour. Context, not a verdict.

Kits refund at 3.8x the Attachments rate Category
4.5% vs 1.2% · 10,671 vs 5,016 orders

Bundles refund more often than single accessories. Worth one conversation with the product team.

UPS produces 32x the average not-received chargebacks Carrier
2 chargebacks on 1,468 shipments · 1.4 per 1,000

The store average is 0 per 1,000. Two chargebacks is a small count; the report says so rather than drawing a conclusion.

UPS deliveries refund at 4.5x the Passport rate Carrier
5.6% vs 1.2% · 1,463 orders

Damage in transit, late delivery or carrier claims are worth one conversation. It is context, not fraud.

100% of refunded value has no recorded reason Refund reasons
$845,222recorded refunds · 12 months

Recording reasons at refund time makes every other pattern sharper. A missing reason is shown as a coverage gap, never assigned to an abuse category.

Sec 07

Since Installation

Aug 18, 2026 onward
New events scored
181
orders, returns and refunds · 11 high risk
Recovered, confirmed by the bank
None yet
the open chargeback is the first candidate
Avoided, observed
$105
1 held order, cancelled · 7 actions completed
The audit stays fixed; monitoring keeps moving

The audit behind this issue is frozen. Live monitoring runs on every new order, return and refund from installation onward. Money counts as recovered only once the bank returns it. Nothing is held unless the merchant enabled the rule. Next issue: Oct 1, 2026.

Disputed
The full amount of open chargebacks before weighting by win rate: the most that can come back, not a guarantee.
Expected back
Open chargebacks weighted by the store's win rate for each chargeback reason. An estimate that assumes the evidence is submitted.
Review-only money
Refunded amounts connected to a pattern. They can overlap and are never added to disputed money.
Coverage
The requested audit window and the earliest activity actually available in it. Thin data stays visible.
End of the report. A real Shopify store, anonymized: store name, products, the discount code and customer numbers are masked; every figure is as reported. Your issue reflects the data, coverage and observations actually available after installation.
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