| Open, evidence due Sep 4 | $67 · 1 |
| Won | $1,079 · 3 |
| Lost | $3,130 · 11 |
| Win rate on decided chargebacks | 21% |
| Rated low risk at checkout | 13 of 15 |
| Expected back (estimate) | $17 |
A year of refunds, in one report.
RefundSentry reads up to 12 months of Shopify orders, refunds and chargebacks, then groups what it finds into three parts: recover, review, watch. Below, the real report of a US outdoor brand, anonymized.
14-day free trial. Then from $49 USD/month. Approve a plan in Shopify. Cancel during the trial to pay nothing. Pricing
From your store’s history to an informed decision
- 01
Install in Shopify
Approve a plan to start your trial. Your available orders and refunds become the input for the analysis.
- 02
Review the evidence
A customer file connects their history and the patterns worth checking. A refund alone does not prove abuse.
- 03
Decide what happens next
See the context on new orders before fulfillment. Rules and holds stay off until you enable them.
The audit starts with available history. Grant extended order access in Shopify to analyze up to 12 months, including during the trial. Exact available history is shown after install.
The same report, as the merchant sees it
Real screens from this store, names and products masked. Every section below is readable in full.
The report of a US outdoor brand
A real Shopify store on RefundSentry. The store name, product titles, the discount code and customer numbers are masked; every figure is as the report stated it on Sep 2, 2026.
What We Found
Audit window · Sep 1, 2025 to Sep 1, 2026in refunds show abuse patterns: 951 refunds rated medium or high risk, out of $845,222 refunded. 47.6% of the value of refunds.
This issue records 19 observations in four groups: 1 to recover now, 11 worth reviewing, 1 to watch and 6 for context.
Start here
2 actions, ranked by amount · recoverable first
951 refunds show abuse patterns
$402,090 refunded · last 12 months · Review refunds
307 customers refund 40% or more of their orders
$110,392 refunded · last 12 months · Review customers
(1)The disputed amount is what comes back if every open chargeback wins. Expected back weights it by the store's win rate for each chargeback reason. Both figures describe the same open chargebacks. It is an estimate that assumes the evidence is submitted, not a guarantee.
(2) This setup report was frozen on Sep 2, 2026. Later activity belongs to live monitoring (Sec 07).
What We Read
The store, in six figuresTiming of each refund against its shipment and delivery scan. Same $845,222, split once. The 30-day return window is the store's own.
| Timing | Refunds | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| Never shipped | 1,071 | $350,361 |
| Shipped, refunded before or without a delivery scan | 465 | $60,483 |
| Within 30 days of delivery | 1,033 | $378,091 |
| More than 30 days after delivery | 202 | $56,287 |
August 2026 was the highest month of the year at $108,401, 48% above the 12-month median of $73,137. November and December carried the order peak (8,673 and 7,733 orders) at a lower refund rate.
Recover Now
1 observation · $67 disputedThe customer had the goods and disputed anyway. About $67 is still open and can come back if the chargeback is answered with evidence. Settled chargebacks are history and never count as open money.
Worth Reviewing
11 observations · ranked by amountEach refund was rated medium or high risk on the patterns behind it, not on checkout fraud analysis. They are reviewed one at a time in Activity.
Orders refunded before shipping are cancellations, not returns. Refunds after shipment, where abuse can happen, come to $494,861.
Together this cohort accounts for $110,392 in refunds. Review these customers before the next order ships.
19 address clusters where several accounts ship to one address. The largest: 9 accounts on one Wyoming address. A 5-account cluster in Texas matched at full confidence.
Ranked by dollars. The top customer filed 13 refunds; the next four filed 3 to 10 refunds each, $2,280 to $3,167.
The store refunds 3.2% of orders. Disposable-email orders refund 24 times more often.
28 of 178 orders carrying the code saw a refund, against 4.8% across 48,020 orders without it. $13,825 is the amount concerned, not money recovered.
53% of chargebacks were filed as fraudulent. The evidence that answers them: delivery scan, address match, prior orders from the same customer.
This customer averages a risk score of 60 across refund events. The report shows a masked account number; the customer profile shows the full history.
Checkout fraud analysis asks one question: was this a stolen card. Abuse that starts after the parcel ships is invisible to that check, which is where these chargebacks came from.
One customer who charged back has placed one more order since, worth $259. Review the record before another order ships.
Watch
1 observation · what is already in forceRefunds most of their orders, ships to a flagged address, refunds a lot: the worst matches all three. A far stronger signal than any single pattern, and the first customers to watch before their next order.
Context
6 observations · nothing to action todayLoyal customers here average 1.2 orders at $283 each. Had these refunders stayed, about $437,675 in lifetime revenue. An estimate, not a loss.
Product gaps separate a fit or quality problem from customer behaviour. Context, not a verdict.
Bundles refund more often than single accessories. Worth one conversation with the product team.
The store average is 0 per 1,000. Two chargebacks is a small count; the report says so rather than drawing a conclusion.
Damage in transit, late delivery or carrier claims are worth one conversation. It is context, not fraud.
Recording reasons at refund time makes every other pattern sharper. A missing reason is shown as a coverage gap, never assigned to an abuse category.
Since Installation
Aug 18, 2026 onwardThe audit behind this issue is frozen. Live monitoring runs on every new order, return and refund from installation onward. Money counts as recovered only once the bank returns it. Nothing is held unless the merchant enabled the rule. Next issue: Oct 1, 2026.
Your store, the same seven sections.
Install, approve a plan to start the trial, and the report runs on up to 12 months of available Shopify history. Then every new order is scored before fulfillment. You decide what to review and which risks should hold an order.